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2024 Game Thread

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  • #16
    Originally posted by Namaste View Post
    Market moving in Marlins favor. Up to -141
    betting individual mlb regular season games is a great way to light your money on fire.

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    • #17
      Originally posted by fish16 View Post

      betting individual mlb regular season games is a great way to light your money on fire.
      Regular season MLB sides/totals (unlike NFL sides/totals) are the least efficient market in pro sports. You just demonstrated you don't know shit about sports betting.

      *this is not me saying MLB sides/totals are easy. But compared to NFL/NBA/NHL, the MLB market has the smallest bookmaker edge.

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      • #18
        And who said anything was bet?

        I simply commented that the market was moving in their favor. Because you don't know shit about sports betting let me explain:

        The Marlins money line moved from the high 130's to ultimately closing at -150

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        • #19
          Originally posted by Namaste View Post

          Regular season MLB sides/totals (unlike NFL sides/totals) are the least efficient market in pro sports. You just demonstrated you don't know shit about sports betting.

          *this is not me saying MLB sides/totals are easy. But compared to NFL/NBA/NHL, the MLB market has the smallest bookmaker edge.
          I've been sports betting for like 15 years my dude. that would be because individual mlb games are wildly unpredictable on a night to night basis in the regular season so the bookmaker can often get fucked by an upset of heavy favorites. Underdogs win in baseball more than most other sports. Over the last 5 years it's 41% on moneylines. In football it's 33% since 2013. In basketball it's also 33%. In hockey it's closer to baseball's level because hockey is equally as random and prone to crazy bounces. As i said previously, betting on individual regular season baseball game moneylines is a great way to light your money on fire. Especially in april

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          • #20
            Originally posted by Namaste View Post
            And who said anything was bet?

            I simply commented that the market was moving in their favor. Because you don't know shit about sports betting let me explain:

            The Marlins money line moved from the high 130's to ultimately closing at -150
            and they immediately went down 4-0 because mlb games are wildly unpredictable on a night to night basis. No one said money was bet, not sure why you are trying to fight about it.

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            • #21
              garcia is so fucking bad.

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              • #22
                Great job by hoeing to at least eat some innings. No idea who this Burch smith guy is and how he’s on an mlb roster but he looks like he’s on his way to eat some innings himself

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                • #23
                  It’s almost comical with Garcia

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                  • #24
                    Originally posted by fish16 View Post
                    It’s almost comical with Garcia
                    He’s been up 5 times and made 8 outs

                    0/5, 3 GIDP


                    The team has grounded into 8 double plays in 15 innings

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                    • #25
                      Originally posted by fish16 View Post

                      I've been sports betting for like 15 years my dude. that would be because individual mlb games are wildly unpredictable on a night to night basis in the regular season so the bookmaker can often get fucked by an upset of heavy favorites. Underdogs win in baseball more than most other sports. Over the last 5 years it's 41% on moneylines. In football it's 33% since 2013. In basketball it's also 33%. In hockey it's closer to baseball's level because hockey is equally as random and prone to crazy bounces. As i said previously, betting on individual regular season baseball game moneylines is a great way to light your money on fire. Especially in april
                      Be honest, how many times did you get beat up in high school? 4, 5 times?

                      Maybe MLB sides/totals are lighting money on fire for you. But please don't barf up nonsense here. You will get called out on it.


                      Anyway, the Miami Marlins get real horny for GIDP

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                      • #26
                        Originally posted by Namaste View Post

                        Be honest, how many times did you get beat up in high school? 4, 5 times?

                        Maybe MLB sides/totals are lighting money on fire for you. But please don't barf up nonsense here. You will get called out on it.


                        Anyway, the Miami Marlins get real horny for GIDP
                        Good one. Edit- not even going to get into it, you’re wasting your money on this team, that’s punishment enough

                        Literally everything I said is accurate and flatly factual. They are stats. I actually did quite well gambling during the nfl season. Turned 100 into 780 in like 10 days and cashed out of the hard rock app. There’s a reason those casinos exist though, it’s because there is not a single sports bet that has good efficiency. Especially individual baseball game money lines during the regular season.
                        Last edited by fish16; 03-29-2024, 10:14 PM.

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                        • #27
                          Originally posted by lou View Post

                          He’s been up 5 times and made 8 outs

                          0/5, 3 GIDP


                          The team has grounded into 8 double plays in 15 innings
                          He should have had another one in the 9th too if it didn’t take a bad hop on Cruz

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                          • #28
                            This’ll be a long season if they keep playing like this. Sucks that we don’t have a real owner.

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                            • #29
                              At least we were favored today!

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                              • #30
                                Originally posted by fish16 View Post
                                At least we were favored today!
                                The closing # was -108 both sides. Keep reinforcing how square you are, though!

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