Originally posted by Nick
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But let's think about 3 years (2026) in terms of service time.
Arraez --> 2 years and gone
Jazz, Luzardo, Puk, Rogers ---> 3 years so will be in final year of deals. They won't keep them all for payroll and needing CC guy purposes
Sandy -- > Signed with 2027 option
Garcia ---> $5m buyout
Stanton ---> $10 initial payment (with $10m more 27 and 28)
Sandy, Garcia, and Stanton cost them $33m in 2026. Jazz could be $10-12m, Puk or Rogers we'll just say around $5, and Luzardo may be A LOT. Let's just get rid of him too.
Last Arb - Sanchez. We'll say he has to go also as will be close to $9-10m if he performs.
Arb2 - Garrett, Cabrera, and Fortes. Could easily be $12-15m for these guys and they are all keeps
Arb1 - Max, Weathers, Nardi, and Burger. Realistically could be $10-12m
Not in arb yet - Edwards, EURY, and Soriano. I won't add more future guys here and limit to this.
This is now roughly...$75m in 2026
_____, Fortes (Maybe Banfield/Mack)
Burger, _____ (Maybe Berry)
Edwards
______, _____ (Maybe Amaya)
______ (Maybe Cappe)
______, ______ (Maybe D. Myers, Brujan, Burdick)
Jazz, _____ (Maybe Mesa Jr.)
_____
Sandy, Eury, Garrett, Cabrera, Max (Noble/White getting close)
Rogers/Puk, Weathers, _____ (Maybe Fulton)
_____, _____, Soriano (Maybe others like Maldonado, etc.)
Nardi, ______
Dead - Garcia, Stanton
And you've traded Arraez, Luzardo, J. Sanchez, and others (Berti, Scott, Okert, etc.) at some point for more. We'll say that's 6 premium guys and RP candidates. So they might be sitting at an $80m team needing 4-6 guys in free agency depending on who works out. Likely, big time prospects for Arraez/Luzardo for 3-4 of those blank lines might be really exciting.
So a 3 year plan is completely hitting on trading two of Luzardo, Arraez, and Jazz + some secondary guys and banking that the pitching holds up as I think we all agree, that staff can be fierce quickly. That's the Bendix plan based on "no extensions" and "three years." He has to completely nail two trades of presumably Arraez and Luzardo, and then not blow the likely $30m+ in free agency dollars he will have.
Kick the can, rinse, repeat.
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