Originally posted by Todd
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2023-2024 Offseason Thread
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Originally posted by Nick View Post
This is probably the most I've ever agreed with a Todd post. Although, I wouldn't say Sherman makes Loria look not that bad. Both refused to spend money, Sherman does it as quietly as possible, Loria and Samson were in your face with it. I'm not sure which is worse. I guess you could say Loria made more effort, but let's remember those efforts usually ended in disaster due to incompetence.
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Originally posted by fish16 View Post
Here's the thing- they should have 2025 circled. But you can be realistic that 2025 is the year to compete and also not completely punt on this offseason for 2024. Those arent mutually exclusive propositions. Signing guys to 1 year deals this offseason can also help for 2025 if we fall out of it at the deadline. Doing nothing is a disgrace.
Effectively, that is outright signing Montgomery/Snell, Rosario, Lorenzen, and Duvall, and only Montgomery/Snell is a multi-year deal so that helps a little now or are really good role players for falling out moves, and then Luzardo and Arraez get shipped out after 2024 for three top 100 prospects, etc. and that money is a wash in 2025 with Montgomery/Snell already signed for the same effective amount. But you have them.
He's cheap. It's a disgrace. Drop those 4 dudes on the team in 2024 and you have this for like $135m. That's 19th(!!!) in baseball.
Fortes, Bethancourt
Arraez, Bell
Rosario, Edwards (Arraez)
Berti (Rosario)
Burger, Brujan
Duvall, DLC (Edwards, Brujan)
Jazz (Duvall)
Sanchez (Duvall)
Luzardo, Montgomery/Snell, Eury, Garrett, Lorenzen
Bulks ---- > Cabrera, Rogers, Puk
Scott, Nardi, Chargois, Okert, Soriano/Brazoban
w/ Meyer and Bender coming
And in 2025 you have this for roughly $89m, so now you have upwards of $40m(!!!) to spend in free agency again + the extremely notable omissions here of Arraez and Luzardo so plug in three of the seven blank lines with the total killers you'd get back in trades for them which are presumably club controlled guys, so it's still $40m+ to spend on 4 players in free agency. Where then I say hell yea to that with Danny Jansen a free agent, two of those expenditures can be fancy 1 year luxury RP, and the last one is a 1B/OF type similar to a Duvall hired gun for a year. I'd project Luzardo goes for a SS + 1B/OF and Arraez for a young 3B here sort of thing so those FA dollars can be focused on frankly a mid-tier FA like Jansen and 1 year guys at position that typically has 1 year guys to then reassess the next year. Parenthesis are next man up in the pipeline in case any of them work out internally.
_____, Fortes (Banfield)
Burger, _____ (Berry)
Edwards, Brujan
______, Berti (Amaya)
______ (Cappe)
______, DLC (Myers)
Jazz
Sanchez
Sandy, Montgomery/Snell, Eury, Garrett, Max
Bulks ---- > Cabrera, Rogers, Puk
____, Nardi, Bender, Soriano, _____ (Maldonado, Fulton)
Dead money - Garcia
I'll stop, but trust me 2026 and 2027 hypothetical payroll is completely fine with Sandy and Montgomery/Snell without Luzardo and Arrarez around and Bruce committing to 19th cheapest payroll territory.
All of this is so unfathomably cheap in the grand scheme of things with some just minor maneuvering, and even more so coming off a ferociously cheap 2018-2022. Snell/Montgomery is that luxury signing which trickles it all down so they can afford to "get rid of guys a year early" like the Rays always do (ala Glasnow). That 2024 team would extremely likely project as the # 3/4 team in the national league without Sandy day 1 with huge upside with the arms + Jazz/Arraez/Burger/Sanchez having real breakout potential. At the 19th worst payroll.
It's mind boggling. Happy Friday. Just mentioning it's even worse than your comment and we're all in accord here.
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Originally posted by fish16 View Post
Here's the thing- they should have 2025 circled. But you can be realistic that 2025 is the year to compete and also not completely punt on this offseason for 2024. Those arent mutually exclusive propositions. Signing guys to 1 year deals this offseason can also help for 2025 if we fall out of it at the deadline. Doing nothing is a disgrace.
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on a positive note- Mish made a comment on twitter that he believes we will sign one of the FA SS. who knows whether that is someone minor like mondesi or a bigger name like anderson, it's at least something. I would love to see us sign Anderson to the exact same contract we signed cueto to last offseason with 2 years and a second year team option with a couple million buyout. That plus a better corner OF than DLC and 1 more middle reliever/set up man and i will give the offseason a pass.
Anderson might just be a complete train wreck, but you have got to make low risk moves to drastically raise the ceiling on this team, and that would be one of them. He was flat out awful last year, but he had 4 straight full years prior to that of over .300 average, and 3 of 4 years above .800 OPS and above a 4+ WAR level over a full season (because it includes the COVID year). If the other option is berti, its a no brainer.
For all the talk of how the rays operate, they have in recent years signed good FA's to short term deals (Morton, Kluber, etc) so it wouldnt be unheard of. I think this team can compete for a wild card spot if we do that. But without it we will be just above or just below .500.Last edited by fish16; 02-09-2024, 06:33 PM.
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i also think it would be pretty fucking funny if garcia has one of his good years and makes a huge impact. A year ago at this time we were all down on soler so wouldnt be the craziest thing. He's had a number of good years in his past. It is desperately needed because they will under no circumstances just get rid of him for nothing. Maybe there is a swap of salaries that makes sense for another team. I would certainly hope we dont attach a prospect to get rid of his salary when we have one of the lowest payrolls in baseball as it is.
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Originally posted by fish16 View Poston a positive note- Mish made a comment on twitter that he believes we will sign one of the FA SS. who knows whether that is someone minor like mondesi or a bigger name like anderson, it's at least something. I would love to see us sign Anderson to the exact same contract we signed cueto to last offseason with 2 years and a second year team option with a couple million buyout. That plus a better corner OF than DLC and 1 more middle reliever/set up man and i will give the offseason a pass.
Anderson might just be a complete train wreck, but you have got to make low risk moves to drastically raise the ceiling on this team, and that would be one of them. He was flat out awful last year, but he had 4 straight full years prior to that of over .300 average, and 3 of 4 years above .800 OPS and above a 4+ WAR level over a full season (because it includes the COVID year). If the other option is berti, its a no brainer.
For all the talk of how the rays operate, they have in recent years signed good FA's to short term deals (Morton, Kluber, etc) so it wouldnt be unheard of. I think this team can compete for a wild card spot if we do that. But without it we will be just above or just below .500.
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Originally posted by fish16 View Posti also think it would be pretty fucking funny if garcia has one of his good years and makes a huge impact. A year ago at this time we were all down on soler so wouldnt be the craziest thing. He's had a number of good years in his past. It is desperately needed because they will under no circumstances just get rid of him for nothing. Maybe there is a swap of salaries that makes sense for another team. I would certainly hope we dont attach a prospect to get rid of his salary when we have one of the lowest payrolls in baseball as it is.
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Originally posted by Namaste View PostPeyton Burdick DFA’d. It was time. We acquired a RHP from Mainers for cash considerations
Screaming RP conversion - weird delivery, max effort, funky offspeed. This is a good gamble on paper.
Sad Burdick didn't make it. We liked that pick when it happened.
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Originally posted by fish16 View Poston a positive note- Mish made a comment on twitter that he believes we will sign one of the FA SS. who knows whether that is someone minor like mondesi or a bigger name like anderson, it's at least something. I would love to see us sign Anderson to the exact same contract we signed cueto to last offseason with 2 years and a second year team option with a couple million buyout. That plus a better corner OF than DLC and 1 more middle reliever/set up man and i will give the offseason a pass.
Anderson might just be a complete train wreck, but you have got to make low risk moves to drastically raise the ceiling on this team, and that would be one of them. He was flat out awful last year, but he had 4 straight full years prior to that of over .300 average, and 3 of 4 years above .800 OPS and above a 4+ WAR level over a full season (because it includes the COVID year). If the other option is berti, its a no brainer.
For all the talk of how the rays operate, they have in recent years signed good FA's to short term deals (Morton, Kluber, etc) so it wouldnt be unheard of. I think this team can compete for a wild card spot if we do that. But without it we will be just above or just below .500.
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A Marlins content Twitter account I normally find slightly annoying posted this in reference to the Carribean Series games played at loan depot the last 2 weeks which drew tons of fans and he’s spot on *
”How was this possible with all the traffic issues, no parking, expensive beers, stadium located in hell, no one wearing teal, AAA talent on the field, unsociable start time, better things to be doing on a Friday?”
*fish16 will rage at this post
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