Season Super Game Thread

[Namaste]

This 100 losses thing is gonna be the most exciting part of the season

[Nick]

It's mind-blowing to me that there are two significantly worse teams than us in the league. The team is almost impossible to watch at this point. We'll probably end up with a similar record to 2013, but at least that team had Stanton, Yelich and Fernandez.

[Lee Stone]

A FV60 and FV45 prospect probably have around $70 million in surplus value. Realmuto is worth more than that even with only 2 years of control if he is a 4.5 WAR player - let alone coming from catcher.

Marlins need a Gallen, or a Yamamoto and Eveld, added to that deal.

Thanks for the analysis. My thoughts: Rengifo is a rapid riser, 45 is likey too low. Gallen=Yamamoto AND Eveld? My nose alarm goes off. I have Yamamoto ahead of Gallen.

[Namaste]

There’s actually only one significantly worse team.

Run Differential’s

Royals -199

Marlins -221

Orioles -256

[Nick]

There’s actually only one significantly worse team.

Run Differential’s

Royals -199

Marlins -221

Orioles -256

I'm not going to get into a Maddawg-fish16 style argument about terribleness, but I'll just say at the end of the day wins and losses are the be-all end-all.

[fish16]

I'm not going to get into a Maddawg-fish16 style argument about terribleness, but I'll just say at the end of the day wins and losses are the be-all end-all.

everyone loves that argument though.

[Namaste]

I agree that Win/Losses >>>> Run Differential but I think Run Differential is not something to completely discount.

[Nick]

No I think it's useful to predict maybe teams that are playing over their heads or who might come back down to earth, but when you're at the end of the season, you pretty much are what your record is.

[lou]

I agree that Win/Losses >>>> Run Differential but I think Run Differential is not something to completely discount.

I don't think you can discount it either, but there is a special place in hell reserved for this which is padding the stats:

Meyer - 18 IP / 22 ER
Tazawa - 20 IP / 20 ER
Cloyd - 17.2 IP / 17 ER
Turner - 5.2 IP / 10 ER

Bullpen ERA on the year is 5.41 over a ludicrous 577 IP. That's 347 ER(!). They have by far given up the most bullpen runs in the league. Get that to a high 3 era - which would be a top 10-13 range bullpen so it's not like I'm hoping for Oakland greatness - and you're wiping out something around 100+ earned runs instantly. That's fucking bananas.

I'm just saying, they are really really bad, but it's a little deceiving based on how putrid the bullpen has been. I think that'll correct itself as they do have a lot of arm talent, and it's interesting to think just the bullpen, has a legit chance of shaving around 100 runs next year if they are just kinda OK.

[fish16]

Jacob Turner being on the team feels like 10 years ago.

[lou]

Thanks for the analysis. My thoughts: Rengifo is a rapid riser, 45 is likey too low. Gallen=Yamamoto AND Eveld? My nose alarm goes off. I have Yamamoto ahead of Gallen.

Sure, there is certainly an eyes of the beholder factor, and maybe I do have Gallen and Yamamoto flipped, but the global point here is Realmuto is definitely more valuable as a certifiable star player. You're getting another 2 guys in your proposed trade and the Marlins are sending over nothing else. Don't sell him short.

[Namaste]

Happy for Isaac Galloway. Walk off double must have felt so amazing for him and his family.

And he’s gotta be getting close to qualifying for a MLB pension right, lou?

[emkayseven]

Mattingly is back for 2019

[Maddawg]

Mattingly is back for 2019

I guess we'll be guaranteed top 5 pick in 2020 too.

[fish16]

Hey we won 61 games and probably wont lose 100.