Originally posted by lou
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2023 Game Thread
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Amy Adams, AKA Cinnamon MuffLogan Morrison: "If baseball didn't exist, I would probably be ... like a curler. Or a hairstylist."
Jupiter
39 AB
15 H
0 2B
0 3B
0 HR
0 BB
.385/.385/.385
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Originally posted by fish16 View Post
so you know, the way you are making a complete and final determination on "better year than" is a blanket and unquestioned reliance on WAR because you want 1 number to tell you what a player is so you have to have 0 nuance and critical thinking or analysis about a player's ability using multiple metrics both statistically and observed to make a final determination and opinion. And anyone who god forbid questions your absurd reliance on that flawed stat is met with "oh so you think you're smarter than the experts." And then you take absurd, never going to come true projections of that stat year in and year out with 0 reflection on how completely awful they are annually in a wildly unpredictable sport from month to month let alone year to year.
What does it tell you about a stat that there can be wild fluctuations of that stat based on the website you get it from? You so desperately want it to be the perfect stat so you can use it as the end all be all and it simply is not, because, among other things, as i have said for years it's ability to measure defense and its weighting of defense and it's value relative to offense is not sound. If you want to use it as one metric to look at in the complete totality of a player, fine, but you use it as the end all be all despite it's clear flaws and act holier than thou and as if someone else has no idea what they are talking about when they dare to question it's accuracy or reliability.
It should be a glaring red flag to you that the same stat can have wild fluctuations based on who calculates it. It is 1 metric. It is a fine measurement, but you need to realize it has flaws and that not everyone has to agree that it is the end all be all For example, last year Taylor Walls had a 2.6 BWAR and a -.6 FWAR. Brendan Rodgers had a BWAR of 4.3 and an FWAR of 1.6. Sal Perez had a BWAR of 2.7 and an FWAR of .5. Amed Rosario had a BWAR of 4.2 and an FWAR of 2.7. And that's just for hitters. Sandy himself had a 2 WAR difference last year between BWAR and FWAR. The reason for the differences are one site uses UZR and the other uses defensive runs saved. Measures of defense have not yet been perfected like offensive measures have for what should be obvious reasons. That should be an indication to you that you are using a flawed stat and the underlying metrics used to calculate that stat have their own issues and that you should maybe stop using it as the complete measure of a player and actually do a complete analysis of a player and stop acting like a smug asshole when someone dares question your opinion.
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Originally posted by Todd View Post
I mean, Vesia by himself has been worth 2.2 WAR as a Dodger.
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