Some Bill James Projections

[CrimsonCane]

I hate projections/predictions

since no one can see the future there is no reason to vest any thought in them. There is a 50/50 chance (well i guess its different for stat totals) for every prediction to be right or wrong.

I have a prediction. You will fail statistics.

[Swifty]

[ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1TxiVhrkZA[/ame]

[SFiercex4]

I hated that Frisaro mentioned mostly useless stats. Would it kill him to tell us an OBP/SLG?

[Ramp]

Yes, it would

[SFiercex4]

Yes, it would

I suppose so.

[Todd]

Sig bets proposal:
1. Gaby Sanchez wont hit 15 home runs in 362 at bats. I will even given the person 500 at bats, Gaby Sanchez wont hit 15 home runs in 500 at bats.

2. Gaby Sanchez wont get within 60 points of an .821 OPS.

Any takers? 1? 2? Both?

[wanks1212]

more retarded: sig bets or ban bets?

[Party]

Todd, keep that shit on mb.cesspool. No one cares about your e-confidence.

[MiamiHomer]

sig bets where the fuck are we again?

[Mainge]

Sig bets proposal:
1. Gaby Sanchez wont hit 15 home runs in 362 at bats. I will even given the person 500 at bats, Gaby Sanchez wont hit 15 home runs in 500 at bats.

2. Gaby Sanchez wont get within 60 points of an .821 OPS.

Any takers? 1? 2? Both?

I'll take that bet. Do I win?

[Swifty]

I'm more down on Gaby's potential than most, but if he gets 500 AB's, he's going to hit 15.

[Bobbob1313]

Sig bets proposal:
1. Gaby Sanchez wont hit 15 home runs in 362 at bats. I will even given the person 500 at bats, Gaby Sanchez wont hit 15 home runs in 500 at bats.

2. Gaby Sanchez wont get within 60 points of an .821 OPS.

Any takers? 1? 2? Both?

He averaged 20 home runs per 500 ABs in the minors.

[Beef]

Chris Seddon doesn't pitch in the majors!

[Ramp]

he did for the Marlins once!

[Todd]

I'm more down on Gaby's potential than most, but if he gets 500 AB's, he's going to hit 15.

I dont see it. I think he will get a decent amount of 2Bs, but against MLB pitching I wouldnt be shocked to see him hit under 10 in 500+ at bats. One of his biggest drawbacks is his lack of power/power potential.

I did the math once, and if given the average # of plate attempts for an MLB first baseman Gaby, according to his MiLB track record, would hit 7-10.