July Hitters Roundup

[lou]

NOLA (AAA)

Cameron Maybin CF
July - 103 AB, .320/.403/.485 (.889), 2 HR, 15/24 BB/K, 2/0 SB
Season - 244 AB, .328/.415/.471 (.886), 3 HR, 34/47 BB/K, 7/2 SB

Gaby Sanchez 1B/3B
July - 61 AB, .246/.310/.377 (.687), 2 HR, 6/6 BB/K, 2/0 SB
Season 234 AB, .282/.353/.436 (.789), 9 HR, 25/38 BB/K, 5/0 SB

Brett Hayes C
July - 75 AB, .242/.263/.360 (.623), 2 HR, 3/13 BB/K
Season - 255 AB, .255/.291/.345 (.636), 3 HR, 14/62 BB/K, 2/0 SB

Jai Miller CF
July - 70 AB, .300/.351/.557 (.908), 5 HR, 6/22 BB/K, 1/0 SB
Season - 235 AB, .289/.352/.498 (.950), 9 HR, 24/66 BB/K, 6/3 SB
vs LHP 6 HR, 1.112 OPS, vs RHP 3 HR .725 OPS

John Raynor LF/RF
July - 77 AB, .221/.333/.286 (.619), 1 HR, 13/31 BB/K, 6/1 SB
Season - 342 AB, .243/.308/.333 (.641), 4 HR, 29/97 BB/K, 14/6 SB

So business as usual. Maybin isn’t hitting for much HR power, but has an excellent average, BB rate, and the K rate is much improved from last year. It’s just a question of when he comes up at this point. In other threads, I have detailed his future arbitration status which may be of importance here. Basically, if the Marlins call up Maybin now, he will be a Super2 in 2012 and the Marlins will be on the hook for an extra $2-3 million in salary. If the Marlins call him up around August 20th, take maybe a week or so, Maybin will probably not be a Super2 and the Marlins will have Maybin club controlled 2010-2012. Kind of a big deal. If the Marlins don’t ‘need’ him for the playoff push, he should stay down for a few more weeks just to preserve his status.

Gaby had a bad July, but he was up with the Marlins for a bit explaining the low PA. I kind of feel that Gaby’s current minor league line is what he’d be doing in the big leagues. And I’m more than happy with that for a few club controlled years. Jai is really smashing lefties, but still can’t be considered much of a prospect since he can’t hit RHP. Jai is out of options after this year, so I’d suspect he is out of the organization in March unless he wins a job on the big league roster somehow. Hayes and Raynor are just brutal and will surely repeat AAA.

JAX (AA)

Bryan Petersen RF
July - 54 AB, .315/.373/.500 (.873), 2 HR, 4/8 BB/K, 1/1 SB
Season - 315 AB, .292/.365/.394 (.759), 4 HR, 37/60 BB/K, 11/7 SB
vs LHP 0 HR, .605 OPS. vs RHP, 4 HR, .797 OPS

Logan Morrison 1B/LF
July - 83 AB, .313/.500/.554 (1.054), 5 HR, 31/15 BB/K (not a typo), 3/0 SB
Season - 161 AB, .267/.430/.466 (.896), 7 HR, 46/26 BB/K, 4/1 SB

Mike Stanton RF
July - 94 AB, .277/.349/.596 (.945), 7 HR, 7/32 BB/K, 1/0 SB
Season AA - 180 AB, .244/.330/.483 (.813), 10 HR, 18/60 BB/K, 1/1 SB
Season A+ - 180 AB, .294/.390/.578 (.968), 12 HR, 28/45 BB/K, 2/2 SB

Scott Cousins CF
July - 100 AB, .260/.299/.460 (.759), 2 HR, 6/23 BB/K, 5/0 SB
Season - 374 AB, .257/.317/.428 (.745), 9 HR, 32/80 BB/K, 22/5 SB

Morrison. Is. Retarded. At this point, we may have to pencil him into the starting lineup in April 2010, whether it’s 1B or LF. Average, Contact, BBs, Power. Full package right there. Stanton is holding his own in AA overall, and was much improved in July. You’d like to see a few less strikeouts, but I’m really happy he’s not being dominated. Plate recognition will probably improve as he ages, so he just needs to keep at it. If he can hit .260 in the bigs, he’s probably going to be a star with that power and BB potential. If Petersen can start hitting for power, he’s going to start looking real good with that avg/bb potential. Especially against right handers. And Cousins hit a lot of 2B/3B this month to explain the slugging, but he should probably repeat AA next year. Petersen should move up as he is a college player.

Jupiter (A+)

Matt Dominguez 3B
July - 102 AB, .314/.410/.569 (.978), 6 HR, 16/16 BB/K
Season - 381 AB, .262/.333/.420 (.753), 11 HR, 38/68 BB/K, 1 SB

Not really any other major hitting prospects in Jupiter, but boy has Dominguez turned it on. April .681 OPS, May .513 OPS, June .826 OPS, and now July. Season line is nothing to write about, but he’s been on a tear the last two months. One more good month, and we have to look at this as a highly successful season for Jupiter.

Greensboro (A)

Isaac Galloway CF
July - 100 AB, .240/.255/.310 (.565 OPS), 1/23 BB/K, 3/2 SB
Season - 224 AB, .262/.293/.378 (.671), 2 HR, 9/59 BB/K, 11/6 SB

Jake Smolinski 2B
July - 81 AB, .259/.348/.407 (.755), 1 HR, 10/11 BB/K, 0/2 SB
Season - 226 AB, .261/.365/.429 (.794), 7 HR, 34/38 BB/K, 2/5 SB

Kyle Skipworth C
July - 58 AB, .224/.262/.328 (.590), 1 HR, 2/26 BB/K, 0/1 SB
Season - 250 AB, .204/.257/.324 (.581), 5 HR, 16/87 BB/K, 1/2 SB

Not much positive to say. Smolinski has a nice walk rate. Skip and Galloway brutal.

Jamestown (A-)

No one of particular interest at this time. If someone wants to fill something in, feel free. But no major hitting prospects, and the international signings are not hitting.

GCL Marlins (R)

Marcell Ozuna, RF
July - 96 AB, .396/.443/.646 (1.089), 3 HR, 8/19 BB/K, 1/1 SB
Season - 133 AB, .346/.393/.556 (.949), 4 HR, 9/28 BB/K, 2/1 SB
vs LHP .545 OPS, vs RHP 1.134 OPS.

Ozuna played in the Dominican league last year as an international signing. He did ok for a 17 year old, hitting .279/.335/.416 (.751). Now, he’s really hitting the ball hard. It’s not unusual to struggle against lefties at a young age, but I note it just to show how hard he’s hitting right handers. Scouting reports are thin, but he is turning into a prospect of interest.

And Hickman is back playing in the GCL. Only a few games, but if he plays enough in August I’ll update it next month.

[nny]

My problem with Stanton wasn't just his K's but also his walks, just 6.9%

actually down from june (and k% up)

at this point I don't count on him for '10.

Hopefully next season he does to NOLA (or jax or w/e) what he did to Jupiter and we call him up in June but at this point I think '11 is when we see him.

[MiamiHomer]

Morrison's July is just...wow.

Also Dominguez had a ridiculous month too.

[FishFanInPA]

If Miller is called up when rosters expand then what happens?

[Fish and Chips]

so can you see Jai being the next Brett Carroll? plays against LHP as a 4th OF, ofcourse he probably doesnt have BC's defensive skills, but can be serviceable

[Ramp]

If Miller is called up when rosters expand then what happens?

what do you mean?

if he doesn't make the team in the spring (25 man), then he'll be on waivers, and anyone can grab him

[FishFanInPA]

so he can get called up one more time?

[McLevin]

so can you see Jai being the next Brett Carroll? plays against LHP as a 4th OF, ofcourse he probably doesnt have BC's defensive skills, but can be serviceable

Why would we need the next Brett Carroll? I'd rather just have Brett Carroll

Jai Miller can go and try to be the next Brett Carroll elsewhere

[nny]

so can you see Jai being the next Brett Carroll? plays against LHP as a 4th OF, ofcourse he probably doesnt have BC's defensive skills, but can be serviceable

Nowhere near BC's defensive skills. And he strikes out way way too much. He's line v.s. LHP is also very BABIP loaded. His base periphals aren't much different

BB%
LHP: 11.7%
RHP: 11%

K%
LHP: 31.1%
RHP: 31.7%

BB/K
LHP: 0.43
RHP: 0.39

ISO
LHP: .183
RHP: .149

HR over 650 PA:
LHP: 22
RHP: 16

BABIP
LHP: .367
RHP: .319
should also be noted his career LD% against LHP is lower than against RHP

if we give him a .320 BABIp against LHP and .300 against RHP, plus more HRs, we're talking about a .667 OPS against RHP and a .736 OPS against LHP

Combined with only an average SPD score (likely no bonus on the base paths) and not impressive defense...He's career AAA player unless he improves his K rate
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To be fair though, he is "only" striking out 28% of the time this year.

so it is improvement.

need to drop to sub 25%
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so he can get called up one more time?

he can be called up infinite amount of times this year

after the season, no more

[Fish and Chips]

Jai is on the 40 man, so whether he is called up or not, he will his last minor league option
/thinks that answers Fip's question

[lou]

My problem with Stanton wasn't just his K's but also his walks, just 6.9%

actually down from june (and k% up)

at this point I don't count on him for '10.

Hopefully next season he does to NOLA (or jax or w/e) what he did to Jupiter and we call him up in June but at this point I think '11 is when we see him.

I'm not worried about the walks being 19 in AA. Gotta think it's part just new level and sample size, because on the year he's still averaging more than a BB per 10 AB (which is the roundball minimum level I like to see). A little more contact, and that's going to cause people to pitch around him A LOT more.

But I do agree completely, they need to keep him all year in the minors next year to work on stuff. The temptation to bring him up is going to be strong, especially from fans if he keeps hitting all these HR, but they need to keep him down for 2 years if necessary so he becomes the monster we all hope. Maybin and Morrison are near finished products at this point, but Stanton and Dominguez have a ways to go.
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And I think Jai is out of the organization come April 2010. Just looking at how this team is developing, you have to feel Maybin, Ross/Hermida (I think they will keep one), Carroll, Bonifacio, and Coghlan will be on the 25 man roster next year. And at some point Morrison. If we have Sanchez at 1B, Morrison is going to be shifted to LF. And right there is a full outfield, with more than likely Raynor, Cousins, Petersen in NOLA, and Stanton in Jax. That's pretty serious organizational OF depth, and I can't see how we need a guy who 'may' hit lefties at the MLB level around. Jai's having a good year and he'll surely be picked up by someone else, but I just don't see it here.

[The Hanram]

Morrison is redonkulous. Wow.

[BigGameFish]

Ozuna looks good for an 18-19 year old, whatever he is now. Morrison is a stud, all-around. I would like to see him get more OF starts though because i think we can benefit from possibly keeping Nick Johnson another season. Gaby Sanchez isnt going to be anything special in the bigs, i see him being moved soon. Just waiting for that Maybin call up, he needs to develop in the majors now. And Stanton....well what can you even say about this kid?
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Why would we need the next Brett Carroll? I'd rather just have Brett Carroll

Jai Miller can go and try to be the next Brett Carroll elsewhere

hahahaha.