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Trying to Project Pitching

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  • Trying to Project Pitching

    thoughts about the general outcome and not the projections themselves?

    Was originally stuck because the problem with FIP is that it assumes a pitcher is ML quality (aka .300 BABIP), so income tRA where I can say "that guy aint gonna have a .300 BABIP".

    My original thought was that it undervalued SP and overvalued hitters.

    However, roughly 30% hitters and 30% SP are > 2 wins

    roughly 60% of the hitters and 40% of the SP are between 0 and 2.

    So I think it's pretty fair up.

    The system just really doesn't like RPs though

    Not only that but those WARs for RP is overrating them because I can't find out how to calculate it for RP. For instance, Blaine Boyer's 2008 was very similiar to Tucker (Boyer had a 4.20 FIP and 72 IP), but Boyer had a WAR of 0.2. Really really pisses me off when people just can't post formulas. Is it really that hard? Christ. "here's a bunch of words that don't matter that make me sound smart" fuck off just post the god damn formula.

    But, I mean, is a 4.2 ERA RP really all that valueable?
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    ok wow the forum shrunk those to the point you can't read them

    here

    hitters for a base point: http://marlins.selftitled.net/images/AAAhitters.PNG
    SP: http://marlins.selftitled.net/images/AAAsp.PNG
    RP: http://marlins.selftitled.net/images/AAArp.PNG

    lets see if it shrinsk these




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    lol tim tucker and ryan wood

    WOOPS
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    also this is going under the assumption of 6 IP per start for SP
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    ML average has constantly been about 5.8 so good enough
    Attached Files
    Last edited by nny; 08-01-2009, 01:03 PM. Reason: Doublepost Merged
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