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Old 02-27-2013, 11:00 PM   #1
Erick
 
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Default 2013 Bold Predictions Thread

Negatives
-Hechevarria puts up an .OBP below .300.
-Brantly puts up an .OBP below .320.
-Polanco misses at least half the season due to injuries.
-Ruggiano regresses. .OPS below .800.
-Morrison proves to be a platoon player.
-Solano struggles.

Positives
-Stanton leads the NL in .OPS.
-Pierre leads the NL in SB's.
-Cishek leads the NL in saves.
-AJ Ramos is our 2nd best reliever.
-Bullpen is top-5 in the NL.
-Josh Booty signs and does ok as our 5th starter.
-Turner, Alvarez, and Eovaldi all reach double-digit win totals with ERA's under 4.
-Chone Figgins gets a lot of starts at 2B and 3B and doesn't suck.
-Team wins more games than the 2012 version.

74-88 = my prediction.



Bonus prediction
Someone will say something about Loria/the front office in this thread.
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Old 02-27-2013, 11:15 PM   #2
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Half those negatives aren't really that bold.

/makes no predictions, but criticizes others
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Old 02-27-2013, 11:21 PM   #3
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Morrison takes to first base like a Marlin in he waters (GET IT) and becomes an above-average starting caliber player.

Festa and Omar adore Hechavarria for his defense and heckle Stanton when he looks funny on a flyball.
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Old 02-27-2013, 11:21 PM   #4
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Half those negatives aren't really that bold.

/makes no predictions, but criticizes others
Some of those guys are well-liked and/or considered prospects.
For example, I think most Marlins fans feel like Brantly could become a really nice hitter.

Also, I think you said you expected good things from Hechevarria so I don't think that everyone believes he'll suck.

I think there are a lot of different opinions about a lot of the young guys on this team.

The only opinion that everybody seems to agree with is that ownership isn't cool.
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Old 02-28-2013, 06:09 AM   #5
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I won't break it into positives and negatives but

Nolasco puts up the first half we've always expected of him and we get a nice return for him at the deadline.

We also trade Qualls and Polanco at the deadline.

Zack Cox comes up and hits decently well.

Jose Fernandez is up by July...and back down by August.

Skipworth his well in his 3 week audition to start the season, and Brantly hits so poorly that by August Skipworth is up and getting a majority of the starts.

Naming rights to the stadium are sold by the end of the season.

Rich and Tommy mispronounce Adeiny Hechevarria's name 204 names.

Stanton plays in only 120 games and doesn't crack 30 home runs. We use this to justify not signing him.

Logan Morrison breaks out and hits .280/.350/.480.

Ruggiano goes back to being Justin Ruggiano and loses his starting job by June.

Chris Coghlan gets 30+ starts this season and hits reasonably well.

We win 70 games on the dot, just enough for management to say "look, we won more games!"
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Old 02-28-2013, 08:21 AM   #6
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Naming rights sold? I do not think that will happen, unless the organization buying the naming rights gets it practically for free. What business or organization wants their name on this stadium? If anyone wanted it they would have done it last season, when the stadium was new, buzz was all around for this team and the WBC is around the corner.

Fernandez comes up as soon as they can extend his arbitration eligible date another year.

Yelich will come up at some point this summer.

The Marlins will exceed Vegas' over/under by at least 6 games, 64 is the over/under.

Attendance will be well under the 1 million mark. Im thinking in the 800,000 range; however, the Marlins will lie their asses off about actual attendance.

NoLOLsco will suck having 15% of our payroll put up a 5+ ERA and a 1.50+ WHIP

Stanton will have a high OPS but his total numbers will not lead the league because he will miss between 30-40 games due to nagging BS injuries like a hammy, groin pull etc
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Old 02-28-2013, 08:27 AM   #7
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I think they will have a short term naming rights deal that will infuse some cash and also be a story that can take the eyes off the shitstorm that will be this season. Remember how all of a sudden everyone discovered what LandShark was when the dolphins signed that deal?
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Old 02-28-2013, 08:55 AM   #8
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  • Jon Rauch is a stud in the bullpen, he's traded for much more than he's worth at the deadline
  • John Maine wins 5 games
  • Ricky Nolasco's peripherals finally catch up to his counting stats, has huge first half, gets trade by deadline for nice haul
  • Rob Brantly bombs, Kyle Skipworth hits 10hr
  • Logan Morrison figures it out at 1b, isn't the worst social media guy ever anymore
  • Giancarlo takes a big step back. Hits 30hr but OPS isnt in top 20 in the league
  • Juan Pierre hits .300, steal 40 bases
  • Donovan Solano hits for the cycle (in a game)
  • Justin Ruggiano proves last year was no fluke, .850+ OPS
  • Mike Redmond actually knows what he's doing
  • Marlins win 74 games, shitting all over last year's pathetic output

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Old 02-28-2013, 09:36 AM   #9
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I am bored so going hardcore with each position grouping

1. Skipworth sticks with MLB club most of the year, gets 300 PA split between C, 1B, LF, and DH in interleague and hits 11 HR. Which is 4th most of the team. His OBP is .280. Mathis plays better than Brantly. Brantly "certainly" isn't Loria's favorite after this year.
2. Morrison "arrives," .830 OPS, but doesn't become a superstar.
3. Solano is terrible and reminds everyone he is a 25th man, Downs whiffs a lot, Dietrich takes over in July after demolishing RHP in Jacksonville and whiffs a lot, but hits a few majestic bombs so there is hope for next year.
4. Hechavarria puts up a 3 WAR, and all of it is defense. Many jokes are made about him being a future all star in the media despite this overall production because his OPS is .635.
5. Polanco, Dobbs, Kouzmanoff, and Cox are combined the worst 3B in baseball. Mike Olt hits 35 HR combined between minors/majors.
6. Pierre is respectable and traded for a AA reliever in July. Yelich comes up and hits a ton of singles and doubles batting leadoff.
7. Ruggiano does a Cody Ross impression, mashing lefties, sitting against half the right handers as their infatuation with Gorkys and Silverio continue, and is third on team with 16 HR, .775 OPS overall but splits much higher vs LHP. They keep and not trade him. Silverio shows promise and sticks whole year once off DL.
8. Stanton is not traded, walks 120 times, leads baseball in intentional walks, hits 32 HR due to lack of being challenged. Everyone keeps crying to Loria to sign him.
9. The bench is fucking abysmal besides some flashes from Skipworth and Silverio
10. Nolasco is traded in a dump in July, but gets some good value as he is gunning in his contract year.
11. Alvarez has a very Nolasco 2009-2012 type season, and cements himself as 5th SP of the future(thats a joke).
12. Turner is overall pretty good, but has stretches of awesome and one month why we wonder he is in the bigs. Sub 4 era, 150k minimum.
13. Eovaldi does not develop a 3rd pitch, is pushed aside in rotation, and then destroys people in September out of the bullpen. Ends the year with us believing he is the primary setup or 3rd best RP moving forward.
14. Fernandez gets 8 starts, averages 5 innings per start, and looks awesome. 9+ K/9
15. Koehler and LeBlanc combine for 17 starts and don't completely embarrass themselves with a mid 4 era.
16. Hand, the Maines, and Slowey get 14 starts, and completely embarrass themselves. The Marlins go 2-12 these games.
17. Bullpen is overall very good for first half of the year before getting worn down from overuse. Overall though, Cishek, Ramos, Webb, Dunn, and Rauch have good years. Cishek gets most of the saves setting up a trade in offseason before his arbitration and overall pitching depth.Conley makes his way to pen and struggles, Dayton does too and does well.
18. Marisnick struggles in AA, all tools no production. Blue Jays trade gets slammed more. Jose Reyes scores 125 runs, Johnson wins 18 games.
19. Nicolino and Heaney look great and people are super excited about them, Fernandez, and Turner moving forward in 2015.
20. Urena becomes a top 5 prospect in system by June, Ozuna becomes whiff city and drops rapidly, Realmuto and Barnes have solid years where catcher is now deep in organization, Cox and Y. Cabrera are not good and the team has no idea what to do at 3B
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Old 02-28-2013, 06:31 PM   #10
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Quote:
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16. Hand, the Maines, and Slowey get 14 starts, and completely embarrass themselves. The Marlins go 2-12 these games.
Scott Maine has never started a game in 6 years as a professional pitcher.
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Old 02-28-2013, 06:35 PM   #11
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He didn't say 14 games each
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Old 02-28-2013, 08:17 PM   #12
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Interesting to me that everyone is so bullish on Skipworth. I'm just hoping he hits above the Mendoza line. It would certainly be nice if he ended up being serviceable.
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Old 02-28-2013, 08:48 PM   #13
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Marlins pull a fast one and announce an extension with Giancarlo in July.









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Old 02-28-2013, 08:57 PM   #14
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Not so bold predictions:

-Marlins win more than 64.5 games (sports bettors know why this is important). I predict 70 wins

-Stanton has a Barry Bonds type OBP

-While he doesn't look nearly as unathletic at 1B as he did in LF, LoMo hangs a sub .800 OPS partly because there will be more pressure to produce for the anemic offense.

-Hanley goes 10 for 17 and hits two HUGH dongs when the Dodgers come to town in August. He Lo Viste's the sky and the Game Thread explodes on game 4 of the series when the Dodgers sweep. Bobbob says only "ehe" in each of the 4 post game threads in that series.

Last edited by Namaste; 02-28-2013 at 08:59 PM.
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Old 02-28-2013, 09:04 PM   #15
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I'll predict Stanton's OBP to not be significantly higher than last years.
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Old 02-28-2013, 09:08 PM   #16
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Barry Bonds has four of the eight highest OBPs in Major League history.
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Old 02-28-2013, 09:10 PM   #17
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ehe
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Old 02-28-2013, 09:18 PM   #18
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ehe
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Old 02-28-2013, 09:24 PM   #19
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Quote:
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I'll predict Stanton's OBP to not be significantly higher than last years.
He's doing that because our lineup is a piece of shit, especially behind Stanton.

But our lineup was a piece of shit last year, especially behind Stanton, and he didn't put up a Bonds OBP.

I'll also predict this is a top-3 year in terms of total HR's for Stanton. He's going to have a lot of at-bat's with the game already in hand. Bomb city.
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Old 02-28-2013, 09:31 PM   #20
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Quote:
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-Hanley goes 10 for 17 and hits two HUGH dongs when the Dodgers come to town in August. He Lo Viste's the sky and the Game Thread explodes on game 4 of the series when the Dodgers sweep. Bobbob says only "ehe" in each of the 4 post game threads in that series.
My not so bold prediction: there won't be 4 separate post game threads made for that series.
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Old 02-28-2013, 09:47 PM   #21
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Quote:
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Interesting to me that everyone is so bullish on Skipworth. I'm just hoping he hits above the Mendoza line. It would certainly be nice if he ended up being serviceable.
I'd rather have him as the backup than Mathis.
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Old 02-28-2013, 10:41 PM   #22
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Quote:
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He's doing that because our lineup is a piece of shit, especially behind Stanton.

But our lineup was a piece of shit last year, especially behind Stanton, and he didn't put up a Bonds OBP.

I'll also predict this is a top-3 year in terms of total HR's for Stanton. He's going to have a lot of at-bat's with the game already in hand. Bomb city.
I agree with this.
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My not so bold prediction: there won't be 4 separate post game threads made for that series.
At what point will people stop making game threads for every game? Definitely after June?
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I'd rather have him as the backup than Mathis.
I wouldn't.

Last edited by Erick; 02-28-2013 at 10:42 PM. Reason: Doublepost Merged
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Old 02-28-2013, 10:46 PM   #23
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Why wouldnt you?
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Old 02-28-2013, 10:47 PM   #24
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Because maybe he becomes something down the road, so why start his clock?
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Old 02-28-2013, 10:47 PM   #25
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I doubt thats the reason Erick had in his head.
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