2011 MLB Handicapping Thread

[FishFanInPA]

Futures:
Adrian Gonzalez lead league in HR's (11/1) -- Hilton
Josh Johnson Over 13.5 wins (+120) -- Hilton
Roy Oswalt Under 13.5 wins (+120) -- Hilton

Braves Under 87 wins (-110)
Twins Under 86 wins (-110)
Marlins Over 82.5 wins (-110)

[Metes]

MLB Baseball is redundant. It's like saying Major League Baseball Baseball.

[Namaste]

Yeah this thread title is a mess. It should have "handicapping" or something like that in the title.

I posted this in the Online Sports Book thread back in Jan

I just bet $100 on the following:

FLA to win the NL: +2000
World Series: +4500

OAK to win the AL: +1700
World Series: +4000

[FishFanInPA]

Dodgers -115
Nats/Braves Over 8.5

[MiamiHomer]

Well we'll know you'll have cash when the Marlins go over 82 wins you jackass.

[Chewford]

Oh snap!

[MiamiHomer]

Vegas loves long shots. When statistics and history scream against the possibility of a miracle, Vegas can always count on the dreamers and the fools to put down cash in the hope of a once-in-a-lifetime payout. It's free money for the house, 999 times out of 1,000.

Not 1,000 times out of 1,000 though. That's why there are dreamers and fools.

At 8:16 PDT on September 12th, the Cardinals had lost 6-5 in Pittsburgh, and the Braves were in the 12th inning of their game against Florida—a game they would lose, but hadn't yet at the moment a man walked up to a sports book teller at the MGM Grand. St. Louis was five games back of the wild card with 15 games yet to play, and at least one oddsmaker decided the Cardinals' chances of winning a World Series were a thousand to one against.

One unidentified St. Louisan put down $250 on the Cardinals making the World Series at 500/1, and another $250 on them winning the whole thing at 999/1. An unlikely late September run, an unlikelier Braves collapse, upsets of the hyped Phillies and Brewers, and he's $125,000 richer. If the Cards can win three games before they lose four, he'll pocket another $250,000. It wouldn't make him any less of a dreamer or a fool, but luckier and wealthier for it.


Deadspin:The Man Who Bet The Cardinals At 999/1 When They Were Out Of The Race Is Looking Smart And Rich Right Now (http://deadspin.com/5851837/the-man-who-bet-the-cardinals-at-9991-when-they-were-out-of-the-race-is-looking-smart-and-rich-right-now)

Link has pics of the betting slip.

[Fritz]

Baller.

[Namaste]

Game 6

Under 7 +115