PDA

View Full Version : MLB 2009 General Handicapping Thread


Pages : [1] 2

Namaste
07-26-2009, 09:58 PM
You have a lean on a game?

You see a soft line?

Or you just have that OMG/GUT feeling?

Let it all out here.

FishFanInPA
07-27-2009, 06:52 PM
I'm on the Tigers Under 10, Indians +1.5 and Blue Jays +1.5

FishFF
07-27-2009, 07:00 PM
Yanks ml, Stl/Lad over 7.5, and sf/pit under 7.5

Namaste
07-27-2009, 08:11 PM
What price did you get on NYY ML

FishFF
07-27-2009, 08:36 PM
-108

Namaste
07-27-2009, 08:41 PM
Nice

FishFanInPA
07-27-2009, 09:27 PM
http://experts.covers.com/includes/article_ce.aspx?ce=14072&theArt=172217

FishFF
07-28-2009, 02:13 PM
Rockies -126
Giants/Pit Under 8.5 -120
Phillies +110
Tigers +119

FishFanInPA
07-28-2009, 02:22 PM
Mets +1.5 (-130)
Cardinals -120
Giants Under 8.5 (-115)
Rays +1.5 (-130)
Tigers +110

FishFanInPA
07-29-2009, 05:35 PM
Orioles RL (-130)
Detroit -120
Fish Under 8
Dodgers -105

FishFanInPA
07-30-2009, 12:58 AM
9-3 so far in this thread. ho hum

Namaste
07-30-2009, 12:26 PM
You had a real nice Tuesday. I noticed.

FishFanInPA
07-30-2009, 12:32 PM
Weak card today.

Fish +1.5 (-130)

Played two unders today in the O's and Reds games but I won't count them on anything.

Namaste
08-09-2009, 11:58 AM
I know they struggle vs Moyer but I got JJohnson last night @ -105.

I'll take Johnson at that price everyday and twice on Sundays (I really did play it twice too lulz!!111)

Namaste
08-09-2009, 06:59 PM
I know they struggle vs Moyer but I got JJohnson last night @ -105.

I'll take Johnson at that price everyday and twice on Sundays (I really did play it twice too lulz!!111)



Pretty hard to not take JJ @ -105 right?
--------------------
I'm on UNDER 9.5 BOS/NYY tonight.

FishFF
08-09-2009, 07:00 PM
Right, but I can see why the line was what it was.

Namaste
08-10-2009, 05:42 PM
Pretty hard to not take JJ @ -105 right?
--------------------
I'm on UNDER 9.5 BOS/NYY tonight.



UNDER got a little hairy at the end but all's well that ends well.

I'm on FLA laying big chalk tonight (-155). I think thats the biggest wood I've layed all season.

FishFanInPA
08-10-2009, 07:18 PM
Tonight, i took an odd bet.

Home teams -2 (-110)

FishFanInPA
08-11-2009, 11:36 PM
Fucking Mariners. No matter what side I have in their games they either shit the bed or smack the shit out of the ball.

Had the moneyline tonight for them and thru 8.1 innings it looks great then Aardsma shits the fucking bed. So fucking frustrating.

Metes
08-12-2009, 01:51 AM
Fucking Mariners. No matter what side I have in their games they either shit the bed or smack the shit out of the ball.

Had the moneyline tonight for them and thru 8.1 innings it looks great then Aardsma shits the fucking bed. So fucking frustrating.

Imagine how people felt about the Marlins with Kevin Gregg

Namaste
08-13-2009, 12:17 PM
My post that said UNDER SEA/CWS 7.5 (-120) is one of the posts that disappeared.

Last I saw it was 0-0 in the 12th inning

Namaste
08-13-2009, 06:11 PM
My post that said UNDER SEA/CWS 7.5 (-120) is one of the posts that disappeared.

Last I saw it was 0-0 in the 12th inning


4-0


Lets make it 5


FLA -150

Namaste
08-13-2009, 08:58 PM
4-0


Lets make it 5


FLA -150



We are rolling boys. Seriously contemplating SEA +1.5 (+105) for 6 in a row.

Still crunching #'s.......
--------------------
It's a selection

SEA +1.5 (+105)

Namaste
08-13-2009, 11:05 PM
The MattWilsons are getting smoked

6-0 NYY 6-1 in the 7th

Namaste
08-14-2009, 10:23 PM
5-1. I didn't get my selections in for today.


How many guys in this country got buried with the FLA RL tonight? Ouch. So not necessary.

Namaste
08-16-2009, 12:35 PM
FLA/COL OVER 9 (EVEN)

Namaste
08-16-2009, 02:55 PM
FLA/COL OVER 9 (EVEN)

:marchmellow

The_Godfather
08-17-2009, 11:11 PM
Any good online sportsbook out there you guys can recommend?

Ramp
08-17-2009, 11:19 PM
betus.com

(252835 is my digits :))

I think Matt Wilson and Daft also use betus

Metes
08-18-2009, 12:16 AM
I use RampUS.com

FishFanInPA
08-18-2009, 06:44 AM
I use Sportsinteraction.com

Pretty nice.

The_Godfather
08-18-2009, 04:06 PM
betus.com

(252835 is my digits :))

I think Matt Wilson and Daft also use betus

...and I just made Ramp $75 bucks. See that people, it literally pays to be on soflamarlins often and at obscure times.

FishFanInPA
08-18-2009, 04:09 PM
:boner

Namaste
08-18-2009, 06:31 PM
HOUSTON +105

The_Godfather
08-18-2009, 09:37 PM
And my first plays on the site: Parlayed the Tigers +105 and the Marlins -115 plus a straight play of the Marlins -115.

Namaste
08-18-2009, 09:40 PM
HOUSTON +105



**LOSS**
--------------------
And my first plays on the site: Parlayed the Tigers +105 and the Marlins -115 plus a straight play of the Marlins -115.

Godpadre,

you have to post your plays BEFORE the game starts to earn Godfather status

This way we bounce ideas off/tail/fade each other.

:wub

FishFanInPA
08-19-2009, 03:49 PM
Give me:

Rays/O's Under 9.5 (+105)
Twins +120
Nats +1.5 (-105)
Pads +1.5 (-105)

Namaste
08-19-2009, 08:49 PM
Contrarian angle play:

NYY -1.5 (+120)

Namaste
08-19-2009, 10:32 PM
THURSDAY BASES

FLA -117
--------------------
Wow the total in the FLA/HOU game tonight was 9.5

How many guys who had the OVER want to swallow a bullet right now.

So.Many.Chances.

Namaste
08-19-2009, 11:46 PM
Contrarian angle play:

NYY -1.5 (+120)



Close (3-2 NYY) but this isn't hand grenades.

FishFanInPA
08-20-2009, 05:24 AM
Give me:

Rays/O's Under 9.5 (+105) :thumbup
Twins +120 :thumbup
Nats +1.5 (-105) :thumbup
Pads +1.5 (-105) :fist

:marchmellow

FishFanInPA
08-20-2009, 10:06 AM
Under 7.5 Cin/SF
Under 8.5 Sea/Det

Depending on how those do we'll be back with an evening slate.

FishFanInPA
08-23-2009, 07:08 PM
Under 9 NYY/BOS

The_Godfather
08-25-2009, 12:41 AM
NY Mets +180 against Sean West.

Namaste
08-25-2009, 12:55 AM
NY Mets +180 against Sean West.



If there is any play on this game, NYM +180 is the way to go.

I wouldn't lay -210 on West/FLA right now if it came with a free back rub.

Ramp
08-25-2009, 01:05 AM
I don't think this game is worth anything to look at besides the over.

The_Godfather
08-25-2009, 01:31 AM
3 team Parlay:
Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) -280 vs. the Nats
Dodgers -1.5 (Kershaw) vs. the Rockies
Detroit Tigers (Washburn) +155 vs. the Angels

a little to win alot on this bet....

Ramp
08-25-2009, 04:33 PM
3 team Parlay:
Phillies/Pirates +8.5 runs (-120)
Marlins -1.5 (+105)
Rangers/Yankees +9.5 runs (-115)

$25/$150

FishFanInPA
08-25-2009, 04:56 PM
http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=9&sub=100503920&page=3

Free $50 to betphoenix. Just mention u are on covers.com

Bobbob1313
08-26-2009, 07:23 PM
Mainge refuses to click on this thread, but he told me he finds the title extremely offensive. Shame on all of you.

Namaste
08-26-2009, 09:03 PM
Mainge refuses to click on this thread, but he told me he finds the title extremely offensive. Shame on all of you.



I'm like 99.9% sure you're kidding. Am I right?

Mainge
08-26-2009, 10:59 PM
I am definitely glad I picked today to check this thread out. Always wanted to tie in a joke about myself but never had a good one come to me.

Bravo Bobbob.

Ramp
08-26-2009, 11:00 PM
*takes the under*

Bobbob1313
08-27-2009, 10:15 AM
I am definitely glad I picked today to check this thread out. Always wanted to tie in a joke about myself but never had a good one come to me.

Bravo Bobbob.

It was a rare moment of inspiration.

Namaste
08-27-2009, 02:23 PM
Yet another 1:00 game at Landshark goes OVER the total.

Like shooting fish in a barrel (no pun intended)

FishFanInPA
08-27-2009, 03:02 PM
Daft did you try and get your free $50 from BetPhoenix?

Madman81
08-27-2009, 04:19 PM
ehe, Fip did you just learn about BP?

FishFanInPA
08-27-2009, 04:19 PM
I did one of their other free trials and lost all my monies. So i'm doing it again.

Madman81
08-27-2009, 04:34 PM
BP is a fantastic operation on their way up, and by up, I mean very up.

Namaste
08-27-2009, 04:50 PM
Daft did you try and get your free $50 from BetPhoenix?



No. I wasted most of my week on a complicated, on-the-fence, pain in the ass chick.

FishFanInPA
08-27-2009, 04:57 PM
BP is a fantastic operation on their way up, and by up, I mean very up.

they've fucked up a few of my RHE bets but i like the new engines.

Ramp
08-27-2009, 05:25 PM
I think I like the Red Sox -1.5 (+160) tonight against the White Sox

Most of the Red Sox kill John Danks and their bats have been red hot as of late.

Danks in his career against the Red Sox: 6.06era 0-3, 0-1 at Fenway with a 6.00era

Namaste
08-27-2009, 06:29 PM
SFO -125

FishFanInPA
08-27-2009, 06:31 PM
Angels -1.5 (+100) Santana has lost only once to the A's.

Ramp
08-27-2009, 07:10 PM
I think I like the Red Sox -1.5 (+160) tonight against the White Sox

Most of the Red Sox kill John Danks and their bats have been red hot as of late.

Danks in his career against the Red Sox: 6.06era 0-3, 0-1 at Fenway with a 6.00era

Of course, all this is moot because Tazawa blows

FishFF
08-28-2009, 12:32 AM
SFO -125

yikes

Namaste
08-28-2009, 08:09 AM
yikes






Hey man I just try my hardest to hit 55% of my picks.

Shit happens.

FishFanInPA
08-28-2009, 09:26 AM
None of our three picks hit last night. I can't believe the Angels got shut out at home.

Namaste
08-28-2009, 11:43 AM
SFO/COL UNDER 6.5 (-120)

Ramp
08-28-2009, 12:09 PM
SFO/COL UNDER 6.5 (-120)

I understand that it's 2 great arms, but man... a number like that scares the bejesus out of me at Coors

good luck though

Namaste
08-28-2009, 12:12 PM
I understand that it's 2 great arms, but man... a number like that scares the bejesus out of me at Coors

good luck though


The game is in San Fran

Ramp
08-28-2009, 12:17 PM
YOU HEARD ME!

(im an idiot)

FishFanInPA
08-28-2009, 12:19 PM
Yeah, I hate when it gets that low. Bullpens ruin low numbers.

I'm on:
Indians -110
Yankees over 9

Namaste
08-28-2009, 12:21 PM
My handicapping style is very different from yours though to be fair.


All I needed to see was

A) the lowest total of the season and

B) the fact that you have to pay a premium for the under


I was sold.


Who knows, COL could score 7 runs in the top of the 1st and someone might go "yikes"

Ramp
08-28-2009, 12:23 PM
i would go with zoinks

FishFF
08-28-2009, 01:02 PM
Zoinks 6.5

The_Godfather
08-28-2009, 01:28 PM
Phillies (Pedro) +105 vs. Braves (Hanson)
Nationals (Lannan) vs. Cardinals (Smoltz) over 9.

FishFF
08-28-2009, 01:55 PM
Marlins -140

Madman81
08-28-2009, 05:21 PM
Phillies (Pedro) +105 vs. Braves (Hanson)


This is very much for me. I'm in at +108. I like the Phillies lineup at home against Hanson.

Namaste
08-28-2009, 11:38 PM
SFO/COL UNDER 6.5 (-120)



The game that can't go UNDER 6.5 just finished up 2-0 SFO.


Zoinks.

The_Godfather
08-29-2009, 01:55 AM
This is very much for me. I'm in at +108. I like the Phillies lineup at home against Hanson.

8D

You know you're a true gambler though when even after winning you're still pissed because you think you should have bet more.

Madman81
08-29-2009, 02:30 PM
8D

You know you're a true gambler though when even after winning you're still pissed because you think you should have bet more.

The part where our handicapping got tossed out the window by that delay and made it a luck-of-the-draw game was not for me, but the outcome was. I was very pleased with Lidge for not ruining the night.

FishFanInPA
08-29-2009, 02:47 PM
Not much to like today:

Orioles EVEN (Backing Tillman)
Braves +1.5 (-135) (Lowe's got good numbers vs. the Phillies)

Madman81
08-29-2009, 03:17 PM
Taking the run line ever is not for me.

FishFanInPA
08-30-2009, 06:33 PM
Any thoughts on tonights game? At first I leaned Under but then the Braves intrigued me.

Sandroimbuto
09-01-2009, 04:35 PM
took Rays +140

FishFanInPA
09-01-2009, 04:52 PM
I'm playing a hunch:

Over 8.5 Phi/SF (+105)

Namaste
09-04-2009, 08:43 PM
SAN DIEGO +1.5 (+122)

You gotta do it. Dodgers are not a -300 team

Namaste
09-05-2009, 12:43 AM
SAN DIEGO +1.5 (+122)

You gotta do it. Dodgers are not a -300 team



:marchmellow

Namaste
09-07-2009, 11:17 PM
The last time a Timmy total was 6.5 I went UNDER and hit.


On Tues it is once again 6.5 but we're going OVER this time (-120).

I think San Diego can score 2-3 runs in this game and SFO will have some miracle hits/runs late.

6-2 SFO

Madman81
09-08-2009, 12:26 PM
I despise bases this time of the year

FishFanInPA
09-08-2009, 12:53 PM
Astros RL

MiamiHomer
09-08-2009, 06:46 PM
I tried out a three team parlay today since I had made some cash over the weekend on college football.
Rangers -1.5
Yankees -1.5
Cubs -1.5

Rangers up 2 in the top of the 9th, going to be close.
Cubs rocking the Pirates early 7-0.
Yanks have a 1 run lead early hope that offense comes on soon like it has lately.

Off to intramural football practice so I hope to get good news when I get home.

Ramp
09-08-2009, 08:08 PM
The last time a Timmy total was 6.5 I went UNDER and hit.


On Tues it is once again 6.5 but we're going OVER this time (-120).

I think San Diego can score 2-3 runs in this game and SFO will have some miracle hits/runs late.

6-2 SFO
Lincecum scratched

Sandroimbuto
09-08-2009, 08:26 PM
Took Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

I suck at MLB betting, but I'm riding a hot streak from all other sports...hoping it carries over. Dodgers have a great matchup, looking for Manny to break out of his slump against Buckner.

Namaste
09-08-2009, 08:29 PM
The last time a Timmy total was 6.5 I went UNDER and hit.


On Tues it is once again 6.5 but we're going OVER this time (-120).

I think San Diego can score 2-3 runs in this game and SFO will have some miracle hits/runs late.

6-2 SFO



This wager is now No Action (as Ramp pointed out).

MiamiHomer
09-08-2009, 08:29 PM
Yankee's need to score and Cubs need to hold that 2+ run lead.

Namaste
09-08-2009, 08:31 PM
I tried out a three team parlay today since I had made some cash over the weekend on college football.
Rangers -1.5
Yankees -1.5
Cubs -1.5

Rangers up 2 in the top of the 9th, going to be close.
Cubs rocking the Pirates early 7-0.
Yanks have a 1 run lead early hope that offense comes on soon like it has lately.

Off to intramural football practice so I hope to get good news when I get home.




If you like $$$, don't place too many 3 team RL parlays.

A 3 team parlay is hard enough to hit let alone giving 1.5

But I wish you the best


*hearts*

MiamiHomer
09-08-2009, 08:33 PM
If you like $$$, don't place too many 3 team RL parlays.

A 3 team parlay is hard enough to hit let alone giving 1.5

But I wish you the best


*hearts*

Oh I know, I just feel like giving it a whirl since I made some money and I hadn't done one before. Only used 2.50 on it as well.
--------------------
And the yank's end my hope at the parley winning 3-2 on a Swisher walk-off solo shot, if only Arod had got on right before that.

Oh well, at least I got the Toronto game at +175

FishFanInPA
09-08-2009, 10:47 PM
Yay for 9th inning runs. Astros +1.5 is a winnah

Namaste
09-09-2009, 12:23 PM
Were on FLA (-120) tonight boys

Namaste
09-09-2009, 08:57 PM
Were on FLA (-120) tonight boys



:banana

Ramp
09-09-2009, 09:08 PM
DBacks to have a higher scoring inning than Dodgers, +130

fun/stupid bet

FishFanInPA
09-09-2009, 09:16 PM
So today I get a giant box in the mail from VIP.com which I no longer gamble with and it's an expensive poker set and a fold out chair for the porch with nothing saying why I got this stuff. Very odd.

Ramp
09-09-2009, 09:41 PM
DBacks to have a higher scoring inning than Dodgers, +130

fun/stupid bet

back to back homers by the DBacks, so we have a 2 run inning right now as biggest :h2r

Marlinsfan4lyfe
09-09-2009, 09:42 PM
:banana

That is my icon on AIM

Ramp
09-09-2009, 10:01 PM
back to back homers by the DBacks, so we have a 2 run inning right now as biggest :h2r

and i'm fucked

back to back homers by the Dodgers, and each have a 2 run inning

:fist

MiamiHomer
09-09-2009, 10:01 PM
I just need 2 more K's from Haren dammit.

Namaste
09-10-2009, 04:36 PM
HOUSTON -117

FishFanInPA
09-10-2009, 04:38 PM
I'm on the Astros too!

Namaste
09-10-2009, 04:39 PM
:marchmellow

FishFanInPA
09-10-2009, 04:42 PM
http://experts.covers.com/handicapper.aspx?ce=14072

FishFanInPA
09-10-2009, 07:46 PM
Oswalt sucks ass tonight. The Braves offense has actually shown up for once.

Namaste
09-11-2009, 09:43 AM
HOUSTON -117


LOSS

Metes
09-11-2009, 11:31 AM
Last night took Yankees +200 and Angels +800 to win it all

Namaste
09-14-2009, 12:27 PM
MONDAY

CLEVELAND +140

Madman81
09-14-2009, 01:00 PM
One more win for the Fish hits the over 76.5 for the year and a big win for this guy.

Namaste
09-14-2009, 01:17 PM
One more win for the Fish hits the over 76.5 for the year and a big win for this guy.



I've hit the over on FLA season win totals so many times now that it's like, "meh".

It's like a part of my life now. Books still just don't get the fact that were not a bottom tier team.

It's the closest thing to free $$$ in gambling for me personally.

Madman81
09-14-2009, 01:21 PM
I've hit the over on FLA season win totals so many times now that it's like, "meh".

It's like a part of my life now. Books still just don't get the fact that were not a bottom tier team.

It's the closest thing to free $$$ in gambling for me personally.

It's all about the $, and I like free money. Plus, it's even more fun to make a long futures play on credit, because you never lock up any post-up money.

FishFanInPA
09-14-2009, 02:29 PM
PARLAY

O's +1.5/Under 9.5

Namaste
09-15-2009, 04:25 PM
TORONTO -123

FishFanInPA
09-15-2009, 05:09 PM
Giants RL -135

Namaste
09-15-2009, 10:02 PM
TORONTO -123


:marchmellow

Namaste
09-16-2009, 12:26 PM
SAN DIEGO -121
--------------------
JJ is a dog today (+107) but I just can't get myself to pull the trigger.

Madman81
09-16-2009, 12:58 PM
SAN DIEGO -121
--------------------
JJ is a dog today (+107) but I just can't get myself to pull the trigger.

I'm close to taking FLA in the first 5.

FishFanInPA
09-16-2009, 01:05 PM
Baltimore -110 (backing Tillman)

Madman81
09-16-2009, 01:10 PM
I passed. Too tough to call. Can't trust the offense, especially in the first 5.

Ramp
09-16-2009, 04:40 PM
digging Mets/Braves over 9 (EVEN)

Parnell has been lit up like a XMas tree since he became a starter, and the Mets actually have a somewhat defense offense again with Beltran back in the fold

MiamiHomer
09-16-2009, 05:50 PM
Winner winner chicken dinner.

Took the Marlins this morning with JJ on the mound at +110.

Namaste
09-16-2009, 06:30 PM
Not posting plays and then posting them after the team wins is a giant glass of failure juice.



:fip

MiamiHomer
09-16-2009, 06:36 PM
Not posting plays and then posting them after the team wins is a giant glass of failure juice.



:fip

I was in class and work all day and just got home..i put the bet down on my iphone.

Namaste
09-16-2009, 06:42 PM
I didn't mean to single you out MH. You are my boy. But it happens sometimes in this thread.


But you get my point I hope.

MiamiHomer
09-16-2009, 06:43 PM
Sorry, won't happen again.

Namaste
09-16-2009, 06:43 PM
SAN DIEGO -121
--------------------
JJ is a dog today (+107) but I just can't get myself to pull the trigger.



San Diego wins in extras


:marchmellow
--------------------
FIP

FishFanInPA
09-16-2009, 07:14 PM
yes Daft? You calling me out?

Namaste
09-16-2009, 07:17 PM
No not at all.


What do you think about the UNDER in SFO/COL tonight (7.5)

I already made the decision but I want to hear your feedback before I tell you what I did

FishFanInPA
09-16-2009, 07:27 PM
I'm not touching it as I already played SF but i'd lean to the over. Both pitchers have had some issues with the other team and De La Rosa hasnt started in SF this season.

Madman81
09-16-2009, 07:27 PM
I don't often bother to post plays here, but if I made a play that coincides with one someone here made that cashes I will mention that.

Namaste
09-16-2009, 07:33 PM
I'm not touching it as I already played SF but i'd lean to the over. Both pitchers have had some issues with the other team and De La Rosa hasnt started in SF this season.



K.


I played UNDER 7.5

I checked back just now and it moved to 7.

I like that the line moved. I wouldn't have taken UNDER 7.

Good luck tonight.
--------------------
SELECTION

SFO UNDER 7.5 (-120)

Ramp
09-16-2009, 09:49 PM
digging Mets/Braves over 9 (EVEN)

Parnell has been lit up like a XMas tree since he became a starter, and the Mets actually have a somewhat defense offense again with Beltran back in the fold

Parnell got smacked around, and it's 4-4 in the 5th ;)

MiamiHomer
09-16-2009, 09:57 PM
Parnell got smacked around, and it's 4-4 in the 5th ;)

I tailed you on this :).

Ramp
09-16-2009, 10:06 PM
let's just hope this bad boy doesn't end 5-4
--------------------
5-4 top 8

bases drunk for Francoeur.... sac fly wins the bet
--------------------
K, and a lineout

this game is so ending 5-4

Ramp
09-16-2009, 11:38 PM
KRod blows the save, 5-5

BRB taking a drive to COVER CITY... best city in the world

Madman81
09-16-2009, 11:42 PM
KRod blows the save, 5-5

BRB taking a drive to COVER CITY... best city in the world

:marchmellow

Namaste
09-17-2009, 07:51 AM
K.



--------------------
SELECTION

SFO UNDER 7.5 (-120)



:marchmellow

Namaste
09-17-2009, 03:15 PM
CINCY +105

FishFanInPA
09-17-2009, 03:30 PM
Rays -110 (Wade Davis vs. Mark Hendrickson....Please don't suck Tampa)

Ramp
09-17-2009, 04:11 PM
Rays -110 (Wade Davis vs. Mark Hendrickson....Please don't suck Tampa)

lolz.... someone is betting on his fantasy pitcher

FishFanInPA
09-17-2009, 04:21 PM
tell me why thats not tasty outside of the Rays losing streak

Ramp
09-17-2009, 04:28 PM
don't really like the mess with losing streaks
--------------------
So been doing alot of thinking lately (I'm sure you could smell the wood burning)... Anyway

I was thinking of an idea that seemed like it's a pretty surefire way to make money

Whenever there is a team where the favorite run line at -1.5 is in the + money, you bet on both said team -1.5 and the underdog (which obviously should be + money also.

The only way the bet would lose, is if the favored team wins by 1, which can happen but it's the only way you could lose. If anything else hits, you would win. I'll start tracking this tonight, just to see what if

Tonight's games would be:
Marlins -1.5 (+135) Reds(+100)
White Sox -1.5 (+130) Mariners (+110)
Rays -1.5 (+130) Orioles (+105)
Red Sox -1.5 (+125) Angels (+145)

I'll play $100 (FAKE) dollars on each game, see how it goes

Ramp
09-17-2009, 08:55 PM
good call on TB, FIP

Namaste
09-17-2009, 09:13 PM
CINCY +105



:marchmellow



Good thing because the UNDER is soon to be toast in MIA
--------------------
Wow 64% of the $$$ was on the Cubs today. So much public pounding with that team it is unreal.

Ramp
09-17-2009, 09:46 PM
Tonight's games would be:
Marlins -1.5 (+135) Reds(+100)
White Sox -1.5 (+130) Mariners (+110)
Rays -1.5 (+130) Orioles (+105)
Red Sox -1.5 (+125) Angels (+145)

Would be +$85 after night 1

Namaste
09-17-2009, 09:52 PM
Yeah I've heard of that system before. I'm interested to see your trial on it. I think one of the issues is about 25-30% of all games are 1 run contests

Ramp
09-18-2009, 12:50 AM
Friday's "system" Picks:
Marlins (+105) Reds -1.5 (+170)
Nats (+125) Mets -1.5 (+145)
Astros (+105) Brewers -1.5 (+170)
Cubs (+105) Cardinals -1.5 (+175)
Rockies -1.5 (+115) DBacks (+125)
Giants (+130) Dodgers -1.5 (+145)
Red Sox -1.5 (+105) Orioles (+135)
Blue Jays (+160) Rays -1.5 (+110)
Tigers (+125) Twins -1.5 (+145)
Indians (+140) A's -1.5 (+130)
Yankees (+100) Mariners -1.5 (+175)

Namaste
09-18-2009, 01:03 AM
Cool. It will be interesting to see how that works out Ramp (althought the sample size will suck).



I have a pick for Friday but I don't have the number yet.


SEATTLE FIRST FIVE (should be -120/130 ish)

Madman81
09-18-2009, 01:24 AM
:marchmellow



Good thing because the UNDER is soon to be toast in MIA
--------------------
Wow 64% of the $$$ was on the Cubs today. So much public pounding with that team it is unreal.

Personally, I heavily dislike the care-about public money angle.

FishFanInPA
09-18-2009, 10:10 AM
Yankees EVEN

Cubs +102

Namaste
09-18-2009, 11:30 AM
Personally, I heavily dislike the care-about public money angle.




What do you dislike about it? It's very complex.


(and obviously not the only thing I look at when I cap a game)
--------------------
Selection:


SEATTLE FIRST FIVE INNINGS -115

Madman81
09-18-2009, 12:09 PM
What do you dislike about it? It's very complex.


(and obviously not the only thing I look at when I cap a game)
--------------------
Selection:


SEATTLE FIRST FIVE INNINGS -115

I just don't like putting any stock into what the public bets.

Namaste
09-18-2009, 02:13 PM
So wait, you think I look where the public money is going so I can tail it??

Madman81
09-18-2009, 04:59 PM
No, you tend to fade the public.

I don't like the idea of caring which way the public goes at all.

Namaste
09-18-2009, 05:03 PM
No, you tend to fade the public.

I don't like the idea of caring which way the public goes at all.

But if the majority of the public is dumb (for lack of a better word), why not at least care a little if you don't care a lot?


How about a different angle. Would you care to know which way the sharp money is going on a game?

Madman81
09-18-2009, 05:07 PM
But if the majority of the public is dumb (for lack of a better word), why not at least care a little if you don't care a lot?


How about a different angle. Would you care to know which way the sharp money is going on a game?

Yes. And I generally do. I don't think tailing sharp money is equivalent with fading the public.

FishFanInPA
09-18-2009, 05:09 PM
I dont care what the public does for the most part in baseball.

Namaste
09-18-2009, 10:22 PM
Well, I already knew that.
--------------------

--------------------
Selection:


SEATTLE FIRST FIVE INNINGS -115



PUSH
--------------------
I'm 13-7-1 in this thread so far with at most 1 or 2 big favorites so I'm happy with it.

I don't normally wager September baseball but I think the "less is more" approach has worked well for me.

FishFanInPA
09-18-2009, 11:59 PM
Yankees EVEN

Cubs +102

Two walkoffs burn me. F You Heilman and Mariano

Ramp
09-19-2009, 09:09 AM
Friday's "system" Picks:
Marlins (+105) Reds -1.5 (+170)
Nats (+125) Mets -1.5 (+145)
Astros (+105) Brewers -1.5 (+170)
Cubs (+105) Cardinals -1.5 (+175)
Rockies -1.5 (+115) DBacks (+125)
Giants (+130) Dodgers -1.5 (+145)
Red Sox -1.5 (+105) Orioles (+135)
Blue Jays (+160) Rays -1.5 (+110)
Tigers (+125) Twins -1.5 (+145)
Indians (+140) A's -1.5 (+130)
Yankees (+100) Mariners -1.5 (+175)

-$655 on the day, -$570 after two nights

hah... I think we learned everything we need to know today :fist

Namaste
09-19-2009, 11:47 AM
lol. yeah it was too good to be true
--------------------
selection:

LAD -140

Namaste
09-19-2009, 06:35 PM
--------------------
selection:

LAD -140[/QUOTE]

:marchmellow

Namaste
09-19-2009, 09:03 PM
SEA +1.5 (+110)

Ramp
09-21-2009, 08:24 PM
Alternate Line:

Sep 21 10:05 PM EST - Baseball MLB - 967 New York Yankees -1½ +140 for Alternate Run Line 1 - Pitcher Options: Andy Pettitte - L must start / Joe Saunders - L must start

The Bombers own Joe Saunders, and I like them to continue the ownership.

Namaste
09-21-2009, 08:30 PM
SEA +1.5 (+110)



**LOSS**

Ramp
09-21-2009, 08:50 PM
Sep 21 10:05 PM EST - Baseball MLB - 967 New York Yankees / Los Angeles Angels Over 30 -120 for Total R+H+E - Pitcher Options: Andy Pettitte - L must start / Joe Saunders - L must start

One more... for the kidz

FishFanInPA
09-21-2009, 09:34 PM
Yay, I love RHE bets.

Namaste
09-21-2009, 09:35 PM
Yay, I love RHE bets.



:lol


You were the first thing I thought of when I saw his post.


:h2r

FishFanInPA
09-21-2009, 09:45 PM
I know it doesnt count but I played two of those tonight. Unfortunately Doug Davis didnt start in Arizona so that got returned to me. I took the over in Chi/Mil too. Easy money.

Get the right WHIPs for pitchers and your golden.

Ramp
09-21-2009, 09:59 PM
except that walks don't help

MiamiHomer
09-21-2009, 10:01 PM
They increase the chances for more runs though.

FishFanInPA
09-21-2009, 10:01 PM
Base runners help.

Ramp
09-21-2009, 10:10 PM
while they(walks) help, you can't just tell things by a pitcher's whip

FishFanInPA
09-22-2009, 12:50 PM
Giants -121 (Cain vs. Davis)

Waiting to pound over RHE's in Toronto and Cleveland

FishFanInPA
09-22-2009, 04:35 PM
Over 26.5 RHE in Arizona
Over 27.5 RHE in Cleveland
Over 29 RHE in Baltimore

Also threw down on Balt/Tor being the highest scoring AL game and Hou/STL being the highest scoring NL game

MiamiHomer
09-22-2009, 05:24 PM
CY Young Jamie Moyer +109 against the fish.

Ramp
09-22-2009, 05:43 PM
same, also took over 10 runs at EVEN

MiamiHomer
09-22-2009, 09:07 PM
CY Young Jamie Moyer +109 against the fish.

You want the Marlins to win every game? Have me bet on the opposing team, it's bulletproof.

FishFanInPA
09-22-2009, 09:43 PM
Over 26.5 RHE in Arizona
Over 27.5 RHE in Cleveland
Over 29 RHE in Baltimore

Also threw down on Balt/Tor being the highest scoring AL game and Hou/STL being the highest scoring NL game

1-1 with the Arizona game being real close to over in the 3rd inning.

Namaste
09-22-2009, 11:33 PM
How much did you all collectively lose on the Marlins game two today?

Ramp
09-22-2009, 11:34 PM
$100

Namaste
09-23-2009, 12:34 PM
Swift do you have any more stone cold locks for MLB today? :mischief

Swifty
09-23-2009, 01:58 PM
I blame Miamihomer.

And come on, when you get the Phillies as a dog behind Moyer in Miami, it's a smart bet. I don't mind losing, I hate making dumb bets.

FishFanInPA
09-23-2009, 02:04 PM
I'm taking:

Jays -115
Rays/M's Under 9 (-120)

MiamiHomer
09-23-2009, 05:56 PM
I blame Miamihomer.

And come on, when you get the Phillies as a dog behind Moyer in Miami, it's a smart bet. I don't mind losing, I hate making dumb bets.

I freakin warned you all..just ask Fip, he prefers I don't tail him anymore!

FishFanInPA
09-24-2009, 08:10 AM
I looked at today's card and hated all of it. First time that I actually went thru every game and didnt like a damn thing. The only play im making is:

Toronto +1.5 (-125)

Namaste
09-24-2009, 11:29 AM
Ok so I placed my World Series wagers today:

$350 on NYY @ +180

$100 on COL @ +1200

$100 on PHI @ +500

$100 on STL @ +500

Namaste
09-25-2009, 12:28 PM
FRIDAY DOUBLE DOG PLAY:


WAS +155

PITT +170

FishFanInPA
09-25-2009, 12:43 PM
I looked at today's card and hated all of it. First time that I actually went thru every game and didnt like a damn thing. The only play im making is:

Toronto +1.5 (-125) :boner

That was not an enjoyable cover. I'm on:

MIN/KC Over 8.5 (-115)
ARI/SD Under 8.5 (-110)
Mets +1.5 (-135)

Namaste
09-25-2009, 10:06 PM
FRIDAY DOUBLE DOG PLAY:


WAS +155

PITT +170




The Double Dog play makes a nice profit (even though we were 1-1 on the day) as the Pirates beat the Dodgers 3-1.

FishFanInPA
09-25-2009, 11:09 PM
That was not an enjoyable cover. I'm on:

MIN/KC Over 8.5 (-115)
ARI/SD Under 8.5 (-110)
Mets +1.5 (-135)

:boner x3

Namaste
09-27-2009, 11:23 AM
Nice day you had there FIP.


SUNDAY

MARLINS/METS OVER 9

Namaste
09-27-2009, 02:58 PM
Nice day you had there FIP.


SUNDAY

MARLINS/METS OVER 9



When I capped this game, I didn't factor in that FLA may get shutout by Pat Misch.
:|


**LOSS**

Metes
10-01-2009, 04:21 PM
TEX/LAA UNDER 9

Metes
10-01-2009, 08:28 PM
TEX/LAA UNDER 9

:boner

Namaste
10-01-2009, 10:54 PM
Ramp remember that system you tried out?

Betting the big dog then the RL @ + $$$ on the other side......

It doesn't work because since 1990, 30.7% of ALL games have been decided by 1 run.


Losing twice 30% of the time is not good for the checking account.


I know you know it doesn't work but I just wanted to expand on it.

Ramp
10-01-2009, 11:43 PM
Yep

kinda like betting both sides in soccer when both get + money and hoping for no tie

FishFanInPA
10-04-2009, 10:20 AM
A couple of Big plays:

Fish +110
Fla/Phi Under 4.5 1st 5 innings
Rays -120
TB/NYY Under 5 1st 5 innings

Namaste
10-04-2009, 09:06 PM
Twins are -160 on Tues at 5:05 PM
--------------------
A couple of Big plays:

Fish +110
Fla/Phi Under 4.5 1st 5 innings
Rays -120
TB/NYY Under 5 1st 5 innings



At least NYY scored 10 runs in the 6th. Spared you from having a complete train wreck.

Metes
10-04-2009, 09:15 PM
Just a little refresher, I've got Yankees +200 and Angels +800 to win it all.

FishFanInPA
10-04-2009, 09:58 PM
Yeah Daft. Certainly didnt expect the Yankees playing their starters. Figured they'd cruise.

Namaste
10-04-2009, 10:04 PM
Ok so I placed my World Series wagers today:

$350 on NYY @ +180

$100 on COL @ +1200

$100 on PHI @ +500

$100 on STL @ +500


MattWilson reminded me to do a memory refresher.

FishFanInPA
10-06-2009, 10:40 AM
Over 8.5 (-110) -- Someone's getting the quick hook tonight.

Swifty
10-06-2009, 02:21 PM
So much money on the Twins today, I'm thinking I'm going to take the Tigers' money-line.

Namaste
10-06-2009, 02:36 PM
So much money on the Twins today, I'm thinking I'm going to take the Tigers' money-line.



Yeah. For me, it's Detroit, the UNDER or it's a no play.

Ramp
10-06-2009, 03:47 PM
my heart says Twins.... that place is gonna be rocking like nobodies business

but my head says Porcello and Cabs gon nut up and win

FishFanInPA
10-06-2009, 04:18 PM
I hate my over already. And it's funny, i'm an under guy and hate taking the over yet that's what i went with here because i felt the under was too easy.

FishFanInPA
10-06-2009, 06:44 PM
Over 8.5 (-110) -- Someone's getting the quick hook tonight.

Maybe no one got a quick hook but I accounted for two bad pens and hoped they'd fuck it up.

Swifty
10-07-2009, 11:26 AM
I took the series lines on the Sox (-125), Cards (-145) and Twins (+325, come on, you have to be on that in a 5 game series).

I also took the Rockies moneyline for game 1. Lee's been garbage lately and the Rockies have probably the best pitching matchup they're going to get in the series with Ubaldo on the mound for them today.

Metes
10-07-2009, 11:42 AM
Cardinals -140

Yankees RL (-170)

FishFanInPA
10-07-2009, 11:52 AM
Phillies -127
Dodgers +1.5 (-135)

Swifty
10-07-2009, 01:02 PM
Also, since it's windy as hell here today, I'm taking the over (9 1/2) in the Yankees - Twins game.

Ramp
10-07-2009, 01:03 PM
Also, since it's windy as hell here today, I'm taking the over (9 1/2) in the Yankees - Twins game.

yea, this is ridiculous

FishFanInPA
10-07-2009, 01:09 PM
Adding:

Over 2 HR's in the NYY/MIN game (-105)

Namaste
10-07-2009, 03:51 PM
LAD/STL UNDER 7 (-120)
--------------------
Considering MINN +1.5 @ +160.

Can't believe how much steam there is on this game.
--------------------
Giving a look at NYY/MINN OVER 9.5 also.

Wind coming from the west @ 30 MPH
--------------------
A +1.5 and +2.5 play on MINN is blipping on my radar screen right now. Holding out for a few more clicks.
--------------------
Adding:

Over 2 HR's in the NYY/MIN game (-105)

Love this one PA. LOVE LOVE LOVE
--------------------
SELECTION:

MINN +1.5 (+160)

MINN +2.5 (-110)

Namaste
10-07-2009, 09:05 PM
DOUBLE DOSE OF **LOSS** ON THE NYY game.

Very rarely will I not play a competitive team that is getting +160 @ +1.5

Glad I stayed away from the OVER. Would have been a triple dose of fail.

FishFanInPA
10-07-2009, 11:01 PM
I've got LA +1.5 (-135) and now I added Cardinals +1.5 (+130) from live betting.

Namaste
10-08-2009, 12:23 AM
A runners LOB fest in LA has given me a shot at the miracle push on the total.

5-2.

Can I has 3 outs please Jonathan?
--------------------
aaaaaannnnnnnnddddddddd there goes the push with 2 outs in the 9th.

FishFanInPA
10-08-2009, 12:39 AM
2-1. Shouldnt have tried to cover myself and had faith in my pick. Price was too good not to though.

Metes
10-08-2009, 12:41 AM
Cardinals -140 :rlymad

Yankees RL (-170) :h2r

We go again tomorrow

Metes
10-08-2009, 01:04 PM
Rox +155

Cards -120

Metes
10-08-2009, 08:45 PM
Rox +155 8D

Cards -120 :rlymad

Another split bill. Eat a dick Franklin.

Namaste
10-08-2009, 11:22 PM
Good call on the Rox MW

Metes
10-08-2009, 11:42 PM
Ramp put me up to it

But when you consider that Hamels sucks this year, it's not a hard choice

Namaste
10-09-2009, 12:48 AM
Another split bill. Eat a dick Franklin.



Just watched the game on DVR.

Don't you mean, eat a dick Matt Holliday? :confused
--------------------
FRIDAY

MINN +1.5 (+120)

FishFanInPA
10-09-2009, 09:56 AM
Under 10 in Min/NYY. Hoping and praying the good AJ shows up.

Metes
10-09-2009, 10:36 AM
Don't you mean, eat a dick Matt Holliday? :confused


One error does not a blown game make

Still gotta make pitches and not walk dudez

This is the playoffs, play like a champion

Namaste
10-09-2009, 12:02 PM
Well the game was overz if Loliday catches the ballz. Just sayin.

How about this, Franklin and Loliday can both eat the same dick.

Metes
10-09-2009, 12:13 PM
I think we can agree on that. Plays today Daft?

Namaste
10-09-2009, 12:17 PM
I've never been so upside down on plays before Matt. I don't know which way is up or down.

I have a small play on MINN +1.5 @ +120.

Metes
10-09-2009, 12:44 PM
I think I'm just going to abstain today. Considering a ML play on Twins, but probably gonna just stay away. I think LAA/BOS could go either way.

FishFanInPA
10-09-2009, 01:16 PM
Yeah the Sox game is a toughie. At first i liked Boston but I think the Angels get over the hump. My only play is a Yanks under.

Namaste
10-09-2009, 08:09 PM
The late game will be a first for me. I'm going to fade myself.

I capped the game. Spent 25 minutes on it in fact. Came up with LAA as the winner.

We go BOSTON -103


*it should be noted that at the time I capped the game and made this post, I did not know the outcome of the NYY/MINN game in which I have MINN +1.5 (+120) because I was out, DVR'd it and am watching it now.

Namaste
10-09-2009, 09:32 PM
--------------------
FRIDAY

MINN +1.5 (+120)


Stopped a mini cold streak. :marchmellow

FishFanInPA
10-10-2009, 12:44 AM
Under 10 :boner

Tomorrow I got:

Dodgers +1.5 (-135)
Rox/Phils Over 9

Namaste
10-10-2009, 09:53 AM
The late game will be a first for me. I'm going to fade myself.

I capped the game. Spent 25 minutes on it in fact. Came up with LAA as the winner.

We go BOSTON -10


*it should be noted that at the time I capped the game and made this post, I did not know the outcome of the NYY/MINN game in which I have MINN +1.5 (+120) because I was out, DVR'd it and am watching it now.



**LOSS**

Namaste
10-10-2009, 04:06 PM
DODGERS +148

Definitely an outside the box pick but I like the value.

Metes
10-10-2009, 04:10 PM
I was pondering that one too, but I almost never want to bet on Padilla.

I'm on the Daft bus.

Bums +150

Namaste
10-10-2009, 08:20 PM
The Padilla Flotilla

Usually rough waters, but we'll hope for a safe journey. STL 2 on 1 out in the 1st.

FishFanInPA
10-10-2009, 08:24 PM
Under 10 :boner

Tomorrow I got:

Dodgers +1.5 (-135)
Rox/Phils Over 9

:marchmellow

Namaste
10-10-2009, 09:36 PM
DODGERS +148

Definitely an outside the box pick but I like the value.



:banana

FishFanInPA
10-10-2009, 09:39 PM
Tomorrow i'm going:

Min/NYY Over 9.5
Angels +120