Fip 2010 MLB Thread

[FishFanInPA]

Futures:
Dodgers Under 84 wins (+131)
Royals Over 72.5 Wins (+105)
Reds over 79.5 wins (-105)

JJ over 13.5 Wins (+115)
Jayson Werth to win HR Title (100/1)
Joey Votto to win HR Title (100/1)

[Namaste]

I like the Reds over wager a lot

Where'd you get Joey Votto @ 100/1?

[FishFanInPA]

Hilton Sportsbook from Vegas.

[Metes]

And Matt Wilson

[FishFanInPA]

You didnt give me the 100/1 price.

[FishFanInPA]

http://experts.covers.com/includes/article_ce.aspx?ce=14072&theArt=186022

[FishFanInPA]

Yankees ML (EVEN)

[FishFanInPA]

Pirates +1.5 (-130)
Mariners -125
Giants -127

[FishFanInPA]

Pirates +1.5 (-130)
Mariners -125
Giants -127

3-0:marchmellow:marchmellow
Votto 1 HR out of the lead
Werth 2 HR out of the lead


Tomorrow:

Arizona/SD Under 9
San Diego +1.5 (-135)

[Namaste]

FIP are you going to keep a season record with units?

[Beef]

He didn't use it, so he losed it

[FishFanInPA]

I wasn't planning on it but I can if you'd like me to.

[Metes]

I'll be keeping track of my plays this year with a spreadsheet for some fun analysis. Won't use units but I'll post my dollar amounts weekly.

[FishFanInPA]

What will be on said spreadsheet? I'm just making a list of my plays that I send off to my handicapper.

[Namaste]

As long as you don't do one of those threads where you recognize the wins but not the losses I will be happy.

But yes a season long thread with a record and a unit count would make me even happier (I think you're a pretty good capper and I'm curious to see how you do). I think you and I would both agree that these threads are relatively lame unless proper data is recorded as to evaluate it at the end of the season.

[FishFanInPA]

I will recognize the losses don't worry. I'm just not so good with units.

[Namaste]

I'll help you with the units.

All favorite plays are to win one unit.

Example: If you take Rays @ -140, you're betting 1.4 units to win 1 unit. So if you win you win 1 unit but if you lose you lose 1.4 units.

If you take the Nationals at +170 and you win, you win 1.7 units and if you lose you only lose 1 unit.

Does that help?


I'll break down your 4 plays so far this season into a unit count to make it more clear
--------------------
Ok, after your first 4 plays of the season you are +2.00 units

You lost 1 unit on the NYY loss and then you had 3 favorite plays of which you won all three.

This brought you from -1.00 units to +2.00 units.

Does this help?

[FishFanInPA]

yes it does....thx sir.

PS...M-Dub's spreadsheet is no joke.

[FishFanInPA]

Tomorrow:

Arizona/SD Under 9
San Diego +1.5 (-135)

1-0-1 today

4-1-1 season 3.00 units

Wednesday:
Pirates RL +1.5 (-115)
Reds RL +1.5 (-135)
Rays RL -1.5 (+106)

[FishFanInPA]

Fuck you Soriano. Now 4-3-1 1.65 units

[FishFanInPA]

Much like Daft I forgot to post my plays but you can check them on my covers.com page.

I had the over in the Phillies game, the Cardinals and Orioles RL. Knock on wood for Mike Gonzalez.

[FishFanInPA]

2-1 last night.

Today I took:

Orioles -135
Reds -128

[FishFanInPA]

1-1 last night:

Red Sox -120
Rays +1.5 -130
Under 8.5 Pit/Ari

[FishFanInPA]

1-2 last night but technically my Pit/Ari bet would have not counted because of the pitching change from McCutchen to Duke. I'll take the loss though so some don't wine.

Sunday:
Red Sox -130
Yankees EVEN
Sea/Tex Under 9
Tigers RL (+105)

[FishFanInPA]

2-2 on Sunday:

Twins +1.5
Fish/Reds Under 8

[FishFanInPA]

1-1 yesterday:

I had the Jays ML and the A's Under (feel free to check the handicapper's webpage to check that)

Wednesday:
Cards RL (EVEN)
Dodgers/DBacks Over 8
Rangers -120
Jays/Sox Under 8.5

[FishFanInPA]

Cancel the Rangers bet as there was a change in SP's.

[FishFanInPA]

1-2 yesterday....Texas ended up winning...oh well

Thursday:
Dodgers -107
Under 8.5 Oak/Bal
Under 9 Hou/StL
Under 7.5 SD/Atl
Over 9.5 Phi/Was

[FishFanInPA]

4-1 day on Thursday

Friday:
Tigers +1.5
Twins -130
D-Backs -110
Angels -110

[FishFanInPA]

2-1 so far with the D-Backs ahead.....EDIT: My turn to say fuck Arizona's pen after giving me a gift last night.

Saturday (MEGA Card)
Astros +115
Nats +1.5 (-115)
Mets EVEN
Mets/Cards Under 8
Dodgers +1.5 (-115)
A's -1.5 (+132)
White Sox/Indians Over 8
Red Sox ML -130
Tigers ML -130

[FishFanInPA]

4-5 on Saturday....lost my last five bets.

Sunday:
Fish/Philly Over 10
Nats +105
D-Backs +105
Indians -115
Royals +1.5 (-120)
Orioles Under 7

[FishFanInPA]

2-4 on Sunday:

Monday:
Royals +105

[FishFanInPA]

0-1 on Monday

Under 9 Arizona/St. Louis
Under 9 Anaheim/Detroit
Under 8 CWS/TB
Over 8.5 Philly/Atlanta

[FishFanInPA]

2-2 there

Yankees -130
Reds -115
Dodgers -117
Over 9 Cubs/Brewers
Rays -1.5 (-105)

[FishFanInPA]

SF -120
Phi -120
Atlanta -120

[FishFanInPA]

I'm ice cold right now so here's fade material:

Cle/Min Under 9
TB -1.5 (EVEN)
Giants -130

[FishFanInPA]

Futures:
Dodgers Under 84 wins (+131)
Royals Over 72.5 Wins (+105)
Reds over 79.5 wins (-105)

JJ over 13.5 Wins (+115)
Jayson Werth to win HR Title (100/1)
Joey Votto to win HR Title (100/1)

Update:
Dodgers bet is iffy to no
Royals bet is iffy to yes
Reds bet is yes to awesome yes

JJ is nicely placed
Werth not so much
Votto...yessirrrr :marchmellow

[FishFanInPA]

Joey Votto is leading the league in HR's. Please end the season now.

[Ramp]

I have a feeling atleast 160 games must be played for your bet to win

[FishFanInPA]

Probably.

[FishFanInPA]

Under 8.5
Under 4 AL Runs
Under 1.5 HR's
NL +109

[FishFanInPA]

Futures:
Dodgers Under 84 wins (+131)
Royals Over 72.5 Wins (+105)
Reds over 79.5 wins (-105)

JJ over 13.5 Wins (+115)
Jayson Werth to win HR Title (100/1)
Joey Votto to win HR Title (100/1)

2 for 3 in the Win total Futures
0 for 3 in the player props :fist